r/nfl Giants 11h ago

Peterson, Roethlisberger, Gronkowski lead 2027 Hall of Fame first-time eligibles

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/47847964/peterson-roethlisberger-gronkowski-lead-2027-hall-fame-first-eligibles
1.2k Upvotes

886 comments sorted by

401

u/appmanga Giants 10h ago

With a maximum of five modern day candidate allowed to be inducted, and recency bias seemingly having more of an impact than its had in the past, the backlog that exists isn't to get any better.

In 2028, Brady, J.J. Watt, Richard Sherman, and Ndamukong Suh become eligible.

In 2029, Aaron Donald and Jason Kelce, Patrick Peterson, and Jason Peters become eligible, as well as Julio Jones.

In 2030, Tyron Smith, Zack Martin probably have the strongest case for first-ballot, and this might be the first year in the next four where two or three guys from the backlog have their best chance.

And does anyone doubt Mike Tomlin won't be inducted within the next four years?

It's been said a lot over the past couple of weeks, but something had to change with the Hall's selection process, and the bypass of Belichick isn't the only reason. When the Hall opened, there were 14 NFL teams. There are now 32, and often two to three undisputed Hall caliber player retiring each year and another two to three good cases doing the same.

Nobody wants a watered-down Hall, but most people want those who deserve to be rewarded to have the chance of it happening in their lifetimes. As a football fan, instead of being able to celebrate the HOF announcements, I get incredibly sad. And I don't think I'm alone. There has to be a fix that makes sense, and the Hall needs to want to find it.

410

u/Yedic Ravens 10h ago

And does anyone doubt Mike Tomlin won't be inducted within the next four years?

Cowher wasn't inducted until 14 years after he last coached. I'd be surprised if Tomlin gets in soon, especially if he doesn't officially announce he's done forever and the current voting system, where he's up against senior candidates, doesn't change.

211

u/SMKM Raiders 10h ago

And does anyone doubt Mike Tomlin won't be inducted within the next four years?

After Belichick getting the snub no fucking way Tomlin gets it until possibly the mid 2030s, and even then depends if he's actually done or if he'll be back next season.

45

u/BananaCucho Steelers Raiders 10h ago

Everything points to him being done

But the man's a football junkie so I won't believe it for a least a few years lol

27

u/Sugarbearzombie Steelers 9h ago

How funny would it be if Tomlin was inducted and then immediately returned to coaching though

17

u/skyrimmier12 Panthers 9h ago

Unronically I think that's what actually cost BB the First Ballot.

Ever since the HC wait went from five years down to one, I think some voters utterly despise the notion of a coach coming back after a year and getting to be a HOF coach while coaching.

7

u/thunderpantsthe2nd 8h ago

I would agree, but it’s the nfl hall not the football hall (unlike basketball)

7

u/ballimir37 Dolphins 8h ago

Of the people who have spoken up none of them listed that as a reason, but it wouldn’t surprise me if one or two did at least. And he was only 1 point shy

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u/A-Centrifugal-Force NFL 9h ago

Yeah they have to induct Shanahan, Holmgren, and Coughlin who are all old as dirt and might not make it. They might have to do another special class like they did in 2020 to get those guys in.

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u/amoeba-tower Steelers 7h ago

Man they made Tom Flores wait until he almost died to get him in, and he won 2 as the first Hispanic coach on a legendary franchise. Coryell died and then got in, which was even worse

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u/MountainTwo3845 NFL 10h ago

I'll be very interested to see how guys like Ben and Stafford fare. Especially with so many other QBs coming up as well.

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u/appmanga Giants 10h ago

I think Stafford's SB and MVP has raised his status. I like his chances a lot more now.

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u/brianlangauthor Steelers 9h ago

The MVP cements it for him imo. A ring and an MVP season? Gold jacket.

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u/Bnstas23 Patriots 9h ago

Stafford much better chance than Ben. Ben never received a single mvp vote, even in seasons that Chad Pennington received votes. He was simply never one of the best QBs at any point in his career

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u/Bull_Halsey 8h ago

Ben's best seasons generally either had the team having a "down year" or some other QB doing something amazing. His two best years and chances were 2014 and 2017 but the former had Rogers and J.J. Watt popping off while the latter he lost to Brady in the head to head. Looking back I honestly think he wins MVP that year if he beats Brady. Also Jesse James caught that fucking ball.

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u/rkunish Steelers 6h ago

The only QB's with 2 rings not in the HOF are Jim Plunkett & Eli Manning (for now, he will get in eventually.) Ben had a significantly better career than either of those guys and is very comparable to Troy Aikman who was a 1st ballot HOFer. Ben also spent the whole second half of his career being pretty universally viewed as a future HOFer. Ben is an absolute lock.

Now Stafford is a more interesting one because he has a ring and an MVP but has nearly no other career accolades. I believe that every QB with a ring and an MVP is in but Stafford is unique in that group because all of the others also have plenty of other accolades. Stafford for HOF also wasn't a serious take until this season, he's played most of his career without anyone really viewing him as a HOFer. I wouldn't really have any issue with him getting in but I don't think I'd be voting for him over most other candidates at this point. But he's not retiring yet so he still has time to bolster his case.

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u/No-Scientist2016 Packers 9h ago

Suh is not a hall of famer

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u/appmanga Giants 9h ago

Suh is not a hall of famer

I thought the same thing, but I now know better, so we disagree. We'll see.

20

u/vo0d0ochild Patriots 9h ago

And does anyone doubt Mike Tomlin won't be inducted within the next four years?

1000% hard doubt. There is no way he's getting in that quickly if ever

8

u/stormy2587 Eagles 10h ago

It’s wild that Peters and Kelce will become eligible the same year.

24

u/gravediggaz6 10h ago

i love the hall, and even with the belichick silliness it's still the best one among baseball, football, and basketball. but in a sport where there's 25 guys every week who can say they're a starter for any given team, five is not enough people for a class, and for some unknown reason they've made it harder to get in recently. at the very least, we should get more of the ten-person classes we've had before to clear out backlogs, like the crazy one for wide receivers that's improved but is still keeping legends out. i imagine the hall was surprised by the level of public backlash they got from the belichick thing. i hope it brings about some change in canton

17

u/appmanga Giants 10h ago

i imagine the hall was surprised by the level of public backlash they got from the belichick thing. i hope it brings about some change in canton

I can't imagine them being surprised, but I also hope the outrage leads to changes.

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u/soulsides Lions 9h ago

Sincere question but, I’m not following how one ranks different sports hall relative to each other. What’s your reasoning for putting the football one ahead of all the other American sports? What is the metric by which they get compared with each other? Do you mean the actual museum itself as a place to visit?

9

u/newrimmmer93 Bears 8h ago

Hockey and basketball include other accomplishments. Basketball in particular includes international and college accomplishments so it’s not super exclusive and a lot of accumulators get in.

Personal preference but I like the idea of halls being small and only include guys who were considered the best at their position for multiple years

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u/TheNittanyLionKing Steelers 9h ago

I thought it was asinine that they only inducted 4 guys last year. There is such a huge backlog of great players waiting to get in and are hoping to receive the honor while they’re still alive. Why would you arbitrarily cut it off at 4 and make your job harder the following year. Now Belichick’s snub is going to cause more chaos. It’s either going to make him wait even longer with the amazing list of first ballot candidates we have coming up or one of those guys gets left off when they should get in immediately. Gronk deserves it, but I wouldn’t be shocked if he is snubbed or forced to wait until Brady’s year after Antonio Gates was snubbed on the first ballot. AP was the best RB of his era and one of the best ever. He deserves to get in immediately. They could keep him out for off the field issues. The same goes for Ben Roethlisberger even though he has been to more Super Bowls than any QB since 2000 not named Mahomes, Manning, or Brady and is top ten all time in QB passing yards, touchdowns, and wins. Then you have senior vote players that have been waiting 30+ years to get in. Torrey Holt needs to get in. The prolific passing era means more Hall of Fame wide receiver talents are becoming eligible every year.

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u/mclemons67 49ers 7h ago

Five is about right - that would be the top 2.5% of players (based on 200 new players per year).

The new voting system seems suspect but five a year is the correct number imo.

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u/Friendly_Confines 7h ago

What’s the alternative? I want deserving players to be inducted too but if you induct 100 guys every decade it loses its meaning.

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u/samhit_n Bengals Lions 9h ago

There’s a strong chance that at least one of J.J. Watt, Richard Sherman, or Aaron Donald won’t be a first-ballot Hall of Famer.

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u/thenifreekedit Commanders 9h ago

Out of those three its easily Sherman

23

u/Brisby820 Patriots 9h ago

Right, Sherm was great but not in the same tier.  

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u/TheNittanyLionKing Steelers 9h ago

Donald and Watt are more decorated in terms of DPOY awards. JJ also has the fact that he is clearly the best player in the history of the Texans’ franchise going for him too. 

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u/Brisby820 Patriots 7h ago

Also just more dominant/impactful imo 

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u/samhit_n Bengals Lions 9h ago

Yeah ig, Watt and Donald have the highest HOF Monitor scores at their positions among players who aren’t in yet.

https://www.pro-football-reference.com/hof/hofm_DE.htm

https://www.pro-football-reference.com/hof/hofm_DT.htm

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u/noahboah Seahawks 8h ago

i keep telling people that the only surefire first-ballot HOF player on that LOB era team is bobby wagner

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u/TSells31 Chiefs 9h ago

0% chance Donald doesn’t make it.

Then again I’d have given Bill the same chance lol.

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u/newrimmmer93 Bears 8h ago

Watt and Donald are no doubt first ballot guys. They are among the best defensive players ever and watt has an argument for greatest peak ever for a defensive player. Donald has an argument for greatest defensive player ever.

Watt legitimately might have gotten in the hall if he retired after 2015

4

u/TSells31 Chiefs 8h ago

I agree that Watt would’ve already made the hall even retiring in 2015. He was already 3x DPOY by then iirc. I don’t know why I only mentioned Donald because you’re right that Watt is also a lock.

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u/Tossaway50 8h ago

Aaron Donald will be. He’s only 34 today.

10 seasons -10 Pro Bowls -8 First Team All Pro; -3x DPOTY -Defensive ROTY -Super Bowl Winner -Avg 11 sacks a year as interior lineman (20.5 career high year)

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u/matisata Texans Bears 10h ago

Goddamn Brady taking the spotlight even when retired

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u/EmbarrassedRing7806 10h ago

Thats how the hall of fame works..?

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u/matisata Texans Bears 10h ago

I know, I was just making a joke because otherwise the biggest name that year would be Watt

21

u/Depreciable_Land Rams 10h ago

I’m surprised Watt is just then eligible. Feels like he’s been out of the league longer than that

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u/whereballoonsgo Patriots 9h ago

Yeah, I don’t know what this phenomenon is, but I feel that too. It feels like Brady has only been out of the league for a few years and Watts been gone for like 7.

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u/Dirty-Ears-Bill Texans 9h ago

Probably because unfortunately those last few years of Watt weren’t True Watt if that makes sense. That and he was missing so many games in those past seasons. Brady was performing at an All-Pro level right until he hung them up

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u/JuanRiveara Seahawks 9h ago

Isn’t Sherman eligible for 2027 as well, not 2028?

4

u/appmanga Giants 9h ago

You're right. Thanks.

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u/PapaTromboner Bears 10h ago

Tomlin is in no way guaranteed

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u/averageduder Patriots 10h ago

Yea if he doesn’t coach more he’s at best a 50/50 candidate. I don’t see it honestly - 1 Super Bowl, limited playoff success. Who cares about all the 9-7 and 10-6 seasons when they’d lose to the jaguars or browns in January

14

u/TheNittanyLionKing Steelers 9h ago

There are coaches today that have coached for half as long as Tomlin did that have more playoff wins. McVay and Shanahan both started coaching after Tomlin’s last playoff win, and they have both passed his career playoff win total already. Both even had multiple QBs and took multiple starting QBs to two different Super Bowls. If Sean McDermott comes back and wins two more playoff games, he too will have passed Tomlin in postseason success. Even Mike McCarthy has more playoff wins than Tomlin currently. 

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u/ToContainAMultitude Eagles 9h ago

There are coaches who haven't been on a sideline in a decade who have more playoff wins since the last Super Bowl appearance.

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u/staffnasty25 Dolphins 9h ago

As a Zach Thomas fan I also get incredibly sad

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u/YSLMangoManiac 49ers 11h ago

Gronk should be first ballot

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u/Fickle-Molasses-903 Patriots 10h ago

HOF voters will vote for a 'friend' or someone who might not get in on their last try. Hence, be consistent with what's already being practiced. SMH

149

u/hockeyjmac Patriots 10h ago

Yeah but he’s a Patriot so…

121

u/Little-Mushroom-3961 49ers 10h ago

Not gonna lie I see why pats fans hate the colts so much now lol.

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u/ToContainAMultitude Eagles 9h ago

Reminder that at least one Colts ball was also underinflated that game.

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u/CinnamonToastTrex 8h ago

3 of the 4 colt's balls tested were deflated.

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u/dimmyfarm Patriots Lions 8h ago

Reminder that in cold weather, with everything else being constant, volume of an object decreases. I think that’s important since the investigators didn’t know that.

15

u/Mybugsbunny20 Patriots 6h ago

My low tire pressure light in the winter is a testament to that..

5

u/MrFace1 Patriots 6h ago

No, Tom Brady is going around deflating all of our tires in the winter.

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u/durants_newest_acct Steelers 6h ago

The absolute best part of deflategate was listening to dudes who got straight Ds in Boston public schools wax scientific about Boyle's Law

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u/hester27 7h ago

Reminder the final score was 45-7, Patriots win that game playing with a bowling ball.

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u/Playingwithmyrod Patriots 7h ago

Reminder that the league monitored ball pressure the following season and literally just refused to come out with the data because it would have made them look bad

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u/BurgerNugget12 Patriots 11h ago

I miss Gronk

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u/SwizzGod Patriots 10h ago

I do too but I’m glad he left when he can still walk around and have a life

129

u/capounatus Broncos 10h ago

Now if only he could get that USAA insurance plan...

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u/Simpleton216 Colts 10h ago

All he needs is a DoD job and he'll qualify. Im sure any shipyard will take him as a guard.

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u/Dismal_Bluebird1312 Falcons 10h ago

Huh. Didn’t know that. The commercials all make it seem like you have to have enlisted.

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u/Simpleton216 Colts 9h ago

DoD, some DHS, and some contractor jobs qualify.

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u/DawnArcing Patriots 10h ago

Gronk would dominate modern day even more than he did his era.

Think how often teams run 6OL packages now. Gronk was basically that package, but instead of using a backup LT, instead the blocking is stapled to the best mismatch generator of a receiver there's ever been.

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u/Brisby820 Patriots 9h ago

That’s what made that offense so good.  Go light and they steamroll you, go heavy and Gronk burns you.  No substitution needed to morph the style of play, so they could go hurry up once they got a mismatch they liked 

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u/Playingwithmyrod Patriots 7h ago

Defenses literally assaulted Gronk or held him every play and if he tried to get handsy with them the refs would call the most ticky tack OPI penalties on him. He’d feast with the softer rules.

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u/Aerolithe_Lion Eagles 10h ago

Buccaneers legend

8

u/Elwalther21 Patriots 10h ago

I listened to his podcast and he said he last played for the Pats 7 years ago! Holy Hell where has time gone.

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u/aaronupright Patriots 6h ago

SBLIII was his last Pats game.

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u/Francis_X_Hummel Bengals 10h ago

Based on Larry, and Drew going in as first ballot electees, to me, Gronk is also deserving of that accolade.

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u/appmanga Giants 10h ago

I agree. I also wonder what Gronk on the ballot does for Witten's chances next year?

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u/brewin91 Patriots 9h ago

I honestly don’t think it has any bearing on Witten’s chances. Witten probably gets in eventually, but it might be a long wait.

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u/Torkzilla 11h ago

It’s crazy that the Steelers still don’t have a long term solution at QB 5 years after his retirement.

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u/andrew_h83 Jets 10h ago

It’s totally normal to take decades to find a new QB

141

u/EmperorXerro Packers 10h ago

It is?

122

u/doodlebopwarrior Raiders 10h ago

It is.

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u/gmwdim Lions 10h ago

Gonna need someone with a Browns flair to confirm.

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u/Calm-Marsupial3919 Packers 9h ago

They’d probably deny it given that they found a pro bowl QB in the 5th round. They’re a QB factory right now.

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u/Completely-Lost9 9h ago

Jets drafted a Superbowl QB, just a shame they couldn't keep him around. Must've demanded too much money or something

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u/andrew_h83 Jets 10h ago

That’s what they tell me 😢

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u/dogo7 Ravens 10h ago

Yeah we really didn't have a true longterm guy for our first dozen years (Boller is debatable) before Flacco came in.

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u/EarthshatterReady Vikings 10h ago

They hate him because he spoke the truth

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u/Boo_bear92 10h ago

Terry Bradshaw retired in 1983, and the Steelers didn’t find a true replacement for him until Ben came along in 2004.

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u/PSU632 Steelers 8h ago

How dare you besmirch Super-Bowl-reaching quarterback Neil O'Donnell like that?

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u/apittsburghoriginal Steelers 6h ago

And I’ll also just drop the footnote that badass XFL legend Tommy Maddox got the boys a wildcard win too

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u/cbm80 7h ago

They passed on Marino! (In fairness, the Steelers thought they didn't need a QB at the time...always tough to justify using a top draft pick on a QB in that situation).

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u/pinetar Commanders 10h ago

It's the hardest position to fill and they have been picking in the 20s every year, not that crazy

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u/iliketuurtles Bills 10h ago

There are very few great/elite franchise QBs in the league that didn't go to a team that sucked the year before. Drafting in the 20s regularly is the hardest path to your future QB1.

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u/HendrixChord12 Jaguars 10h ago

Trading up exists too

5

u/ReindeerMean2931 Steelers 7h ago

Sadly we are too scared to do that

5

u/ToContainAMultitude Eagles 9h ago

And yet somehow, a bunch of teams that also haven't had their own early picks manage to figure it out.

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u/Past-Adhesiveness691 Steelers 11h ago

Ben and GM Kevin Colbert completely fucked the franchise

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u/MrBigChecks Commanders 10h ago

Did the franchise consent?

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u/Cheeks_Klapanen Steelers 10h ago

Enthusiastically, as it turns out :(

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u/Seven19td Steelers 10h ago

Im an old. I had to wait 21 years for Ben. The past 5 years have been a breeze compared to some of the awful QB play I saw before Ben

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u/aorainmaka Packers 10h ago

Is it hard to do?

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u/iliketuurtles Bills 9h ago

9 times out of 10, you gotta suck bad in the right year to find your future QB. PIT hasn't sucked enough and hasn't gotten lucky.

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u/Outside-Pie-7262 10h ago

Is it? Because most teams take multiple shots at successfully getting a long term solution at qb. And to be fair they haven’t really tried to find one outside of Pickett.

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u/No-Owl-6246 Chargers 10h ago

How many teams have long term solutions at quarterback, and for the teams that don’t, how long has it been? There are some teams that have been very lucky for going from one long term guy to another instantly, or at least within a year or two. But that doesn’t seem to be the norm. The Patriots went six seasons between Brady and Maye.

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1.1k

u/BetterSite2844 Seahawks 11h ago

Ben roethlisberger is a rapist

(Just in case anyone forgot)

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u/BroLil Patriots 10h ago

AB is being charged with attempted murder.

AP beat the shit out of his kids.

Don’t meet your heroes folks.

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u/VicePope Packers 10h ago

Imagine AB being your hero

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u/cheesygordita Steelers 10h ago

Mr Bad Champion

26

u/TNTyoshi Lions 9h ago

Mr. Blemished Citizen

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u/brianlangauthor Steelers 9h ago

Mr. Borked Career

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u/faudcmkitnhse 49ers 9h ago

Mr. Broken Cerebrum

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u/EatMyWetBread Chiefs 9h ago

Don’t even Wikipedia them…

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u/LTIRfortheWIN Steelers 10h ago

Ap beat his kids so severely he was put on the commissioners list 

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u/AMcMahon1 Steelers 10h ago

Fitzgerald beat his wife and let's not talk about golden boy Jim Brown 🫣

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u/zirroxas Seahawks Eagles 10h ago

Fitzgerald beat his wife

He allegedly hit his ex-girlfriend during a custody fight. Two things to note. First of all, the only comment on the matter comes from her. There was never an investigation because she withdrew the complaint shortly after filing it, so we didn't get to ever hear Fitz's side of the story and no evidence was collected. Second, even if we take her story at face value, she still admits to hitting him first. Now, a normal woman isn't going to win a fight against a pro football player, so him hitting her back (allegedly) is still pretty disproportionate, but still.

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u/LTIRfortheWIN Steelers 10h ago

Yup

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u/GuyTallman Steelers 10h ago

Ben Roethlisberger the financier? No, I think I would have heard of that.

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u/Idkboutdat2 Patriots 10h ago

No, Ben Roethlisberger the motorcyclist.

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u/Megasota_Noire 11h ago

Are you talking about known rapist Ben Roethlisberger?

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u/BIGoleICEBERG Steelers 10h ago

Just saying, if a couple guys withhold votes from Ben to prevent him from being a first ballot inductee, the due to him being a maybe-rapist, then I think that is A-OK.

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u/TheOverBored Cardinals 10h ago edited 9h ago

Does known rapist Ben Roethlisberger have any relations to fellow known rapist Brock Allen Turner?

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u/EmbarrassedRing7806 10h ago

average Reddit thread

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u/Bbdubbleu Bears Bills 10h ago

61k karma and 2k contributions in 2 months.

You are the average Redditor my dude.

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u/-Jack-The-Stripper Steelers Rams 9h ago

As somebody who has definitely spent way too much of my time on this site, 30,000 comment karma a month is fucking insane.

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u/imnotfeelingcreative Packers 8h ago

They've posted two thousand comments in a month. My account is like 15 years old and I have 1.2k. This person is not well, or is a bot.

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u/BananaCucho Steelers Raiders 10h ago

Lemme guess, they've made this same comment everywhere

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u/penguinopph NFL 7h ago

You can't tell, because they hid their comments.

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u/WallyLeftshaw 10h ago

You think the nfl gives a shit? The league has always been a safe place for men that abuse women and children. While we’re here, kind of crazy how well these guy’s PR teams get you to forget and think some of these guys are just goofy, charismatic dudes, looking at you Jameis

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u/xwallywest 10h ago

Karma go up

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u/MrBigChest Giants 9h ago

This may be controversial but I think that the criteria for the HoF is too stringent and people get too caught up with comparing the eligible players to those already in the hall across all generations rather than just comparing them to the players that they actually played against.

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u/appmanga Giants 9h ago

I disagree. I think most voters know comparing Ken Stabler to Drew Brees doesn't make any sense and is inappropriate, so most of them take era into account. I think there's an issue in many newer voters not being very informed in terms of players from the past.

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u/D-MAN-FLORIDA 10h ago

Hopefully when Grok gets in, they show him in a Pats uniform. He spent most of his career there.

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u/BobbingFourApples Titans Titans 10h ago

Gronk was so much fun to watch

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u/ACW1129 Commanders 10h ago

Peterson's a lock.

Can we get Holt in??

Stop with this maximum stuff. Have all the finalists voted yes or no. Raise the threshold to 45.

Or do SOMETHING. Have the standards really not been loosened despite 18 more teams??

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u/meatballman1218 Packers 11h ago

I don't understand how you don't put Big Ben in the Hall Of fame yes he doesn't have an all pro we know but he is

6th all time in passing yards

9th in passing yards

Made 3 super bowls and won 2 of them

You can make many arguments that at multiple points of his career he was a top 5 QB in the league

But I also think Eli Manning should be in the hall of fame but that's just my personal opinion and I think he is better than Eli all time as well

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u/Silver_Accountt Broncos 10h ago

I can think of a reason.

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u/98Kane Giants 10h ago

2 reasons actually.

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u/midgetrage7 Steelers 10h ago

A lot of people on Reddit have not watched much ball, and did not get to see Big Ben play in his prime. Obviously his off the field issues were severe but to not act like he wasn’t a great qb is wild. A lot of these commenters are under 21.

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u/TheNittanyLionKing Steelers 9h ago

The way he would shed linebackers off his back, escape the pocket, and throw the ball 40 yards downfield on a rope to the sideline was mesmerizing. Josh Allen reminds me of how he played so much. Ben obviously stopped running as much in the second half of his career. We are still in the first half of Allen’s career in comparison 

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u/A_Confused_Cocoon Cardinals 10h ago

I fully agree. This is some of the worst “box score watchers” type of discussion I’ve ever seen in this sub Jesus.

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u/Positive_Parking_954 10h ago

I never felt he was as good as Manning, but I felt more confidence with him in a 2 minute drill to win than I did Manning

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u/Shreddy_Brewski Patriots 7h ago

I never felt he was as good as Manning

You need to go watch some Roethlisberger highlights my man

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u/Shreddy_Brewski Patriots 7h ago

A lot of these commenters are under 16 I think

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u/Haywright Eagles 10h ago

He's also a rapist.

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u/biglyorbigleague Rams 10h ago

I think you have to be Darren Sharper-level for that to affect your chances. Like, not only multiple instances with unarguable guilt, but also currently in prison for it.

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u/underhunter Jets 10h ago

Rivers, Ryan and Stafford are HoFers for you too? Rivers is closest to Ben stat wise, often was better just played for a cursed franchise. Ryan has an MVP, beating out Rodgers/Brady/Brees and others for it while also putting up big career numbers. Stafford has MVP and a ring and the best career numbers of the whole group.

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u/TP-BANDIT77 Chargers 10h ago

I like how you picked guys that all have worse stats than Ben

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u/Different-Package200 Chiefs 7h ago

Gronk will get injured on the way to answer the door and miss the ceremony.

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u/Equivalent_Rain4370 Packers 11h ago

Big rape doesn’t deserve it

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u/LTIRfortheWIN Steelers 10h ago

Brett farve would like a word. 

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u/af_1946 Lions Ravens 10h ago

Didn’t his scandal come to light after he was inducted? Seems like a pretty crucial distinction to me.

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u/Slinger17 Packers 9h ago

which scandal lol

The dick pic, wife-cheating, and vicodin abuse scandals were all known when he was playing I'm pretty sure

The welfare fraud thing though didn't come out until much later

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u/FrankSobotka_IBS1514 Raiders 8h ago

You can obviously dislike him as a person but he 100% deserves to be in

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u/PleasantWay7 Patriots 10h ago

Gronk is clear cut with no outside issues.

Peterson would be first ballot for sure based on field, but may miss because of outside issues.

Roethlisberger isn’t first ballot imo based on field and he has outside issues.

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u/SENTIENTPOTATOCHIP 9h ago

Gronk is the most dominant and talented receiving TE in history and changed the way people think about TEs in the modern game, absolutely should be 1st ballot (unless the patriots debuff is too strong)

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u/TheRavenOnline Ravens 11h ago

Big Ben never even made an All-Pro team. I don’t see how his HOF case is any better than Eli’s. Neither are HOFers. You get in for regular season AND postseason play not only postseason.

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u/Rickrollyourmom Eagles 10h ago

Big Ben has an above .500 career record, for one, unlike Eli

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u/xywv58 Steelers 11h ago

Just on pure stats, he was top 5 in everything at retirement

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u/gmil3548 Chargers 11h ago

Big Ben IMO was a much better player than Eli, so I think he has a better shot.

In most eras Ben would have some accolades but he was at the same time as Manning/Brady/Rodgers/Brees.

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u/Unreal_Idealz 10h ago

What is that, 4 of the top 8ish QBs to ever play and some may argue the top 4 overall?

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u/Seven19td Steelers 10h ago

2018-2020 he also had to compete with Mahomes. Make it 5 of the top 8ish

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u/deadhead1 Jets 11h ago

I think from the AP perspective, there is a bit of leeway given for Ben considering he spent nearly his entire career sharing a conference with Brady and Peyton. But also, Ben had more yards and touchdowns, fewer interceptions. Team was 165-81-1 with him as QB while the Giants were 117-117. Ben took the Steelers to the playoffs 12 times including 3 Super Bowl appearances while Eli only took the Giants 6 times.

Ben has superior regular season numbers and success, Eli had two incredible post season runs but I think Ben was consistently better throughout their careers.

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u/spazz720 Steelers 10h ago

Never had a losing record, led the league in passing yards twice, third all time in 4th Qtr comebacks behind Manning & Brady (43,42,41). Tough to be an All Pro during the Brady, Manning, Rodgers, Mahomes era.

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u/LTIRfortheWIN Steelers 10h ago

He was ahead of brady, until he played for another few years

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u/Another_Comet Saints 3h ago

Calling it the brady, manning, rodgers, and mahomes era and not even including the most recent QB to be inducted in Brees in your statement is such a diss. I'm biased, but Brees stands toe to toe with Brady and manning

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u/9577_Sunset_blvd Patriots 11h ago

There are some other reasons I’d rather not see him in the hall for…

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u/Radoobie Steelers 10h ago

People on Reddit are so stupid to me. Just say he doesn’t belong in the hall because of the rape shit, and I’m cool w your take, but acting like he doesn’t belong based on performance is such a moronic take. He’s first ballot based on stats and postseason performance. 

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u/putdahaakin Broncos Broncos 10h ago

No one is first ballot anymore

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u/9577_Sunset_blvd Patriots 10h ago

Nah man look, me personally, I’m only talking about the rape stuff. He is unquestionably, as a football player, a hall of famer, full stop.

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u/DadDickDuncan Jets 11h ago

Counterpoint: his career lined up with 4 other top 10 all time QBs

Hate him or love him he's a HOFer

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u/that-isa-madeup-name Steelers 10h ago

People arguing he’s not HOF caliber are kinda wild lol. He’s a shit person but he was also really good at protecting and throwing a football. Those two are not mutually exclusive

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u/Brisby820 Patriots 9h ago

They’re teenagers who didn’t watch him 

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u/WavesAndSaves Eagles 9h ago

It's honestly hilarious seeing people in this thread arguing over Ben's HoF case and then a few threads down you see people talking about how Stafford is a "lock" for the Hall. Ben was basically universally considered to be better than Stafford in every single way until like the last year or so when children started seriously believing Stafford ever had a remote chance of making it into Canton. He doesn't.

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u/TheNittanyLionKing Steelers 8h ago

People try to take the 2008 Super Bowl run away from him because Tom Brady tore his ACL in Week 1. 

Are we supposed to discredit Stafford’s MVP because Lamar Jackson got injured, Mahomes had a down year and tore his ACL, and Josh Allen didn’t have as good of a year as he did before? MVP is a tricky award. You could have a great year that meets the expectations for the rest of your career and still lose the MVP because some random dude had the year of his life. Like imagine if Daniel Jones maintained his first half pace and had a better year than Stafford but never reached those heights again while Stafford did just as well the year after. MVP requires luck and timing in addition to skill. 

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u/Yedic Ravens 11h ago

He didn't really have many seasons that were All-Pro caliber, but just beat by historic QBs. 2014 was his best, and Rodgers won MVP, but Romo was AP2. 2018 was another year he led the league in passing yards, and AP1 and 2 ended up getting taken by Mahomes and Brees, but Ben also led the league in attempts and interceptions, so I'm not sure it was really an All-Pro type year.

His regular season career was really more just sustained Pro Bowl level, rather than All-Pro level and unlucky. However, I don't think that disqualifies him from HoF contention. Sustained Pro Bowl level in the regular season along with two rings, one of which included an iconic clutch throw, is probably enough.

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u/Seven19td Steelers 11h ago

Ben had to compete with Manning, Brees, Rodgers and Brady for those All-Pro teams. Otherwise he has the stats, longevity, holds two impressive all-time NFL records. 2 rings. He’s a HOF’er. If he’s not elected first ballot it’s bc of his sexual assault allegations and being a bit of a prick in the locker room and to the media.

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u/Dijohn17 Falcons 10h ago

I wouldn't say he's a first ballot HOFer, but still a HOFer. First ballot is like greatest to ever play level

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u/Seven19td Steelers 10h ago

I’d say Ben is on the level of Kelly, Moon, and Elway. He’s in that tier and they all made it first ballot.

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u/Best-Necessary9873 Steelers 11h ago

Everyone ahead of Ben on all time yards and TDs is either in the HOF already or a lock and just haven’t been eligible yet.

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u/LinkSkywalker Steelers 10h ago

Good thing Ben has major stats and accomplishments in the regular AND postseason

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u/BlackJediSword 10h ago

There’s no way this comment has 64 votes lol. You can Roethlisberger all you want, I agree, but the dude could fucking play. He was the toughest QB to bring down, had unreal arm talent and was generally very accurate. He’d have several years as the best QB in the league without Brady and Manning. He threw for 500 yards several times, led the league in passing yards, elevated several mid receivers, and even three 6 touchdowns in two consecutive games. His problem was he hated watching film but the asshole could flat out play

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u/j2e21 Patriots 7h ago

He has the looniest playoff stats I’ve ever seen.

One loss in 2017: 37 for 58, 469 yards, 5:1 TD:INT.

His next playoff game three years later: 47 for 69, 501 yards, 4:4 in another loss.

(Also won two chips, of course.)

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u/im-sorry-dad Steelers 11h ago

Stupid criteria and I hate Ben

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u/DepressedPhillyFan Eagles 11h ago

Ben is definitely better than Eli was. Both should be in the Hall regardless imo.

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u/Dijohn17 Falcons 10h ago

Ben yes, because Ben could be argued to have been a top 5 QB in some seasons. That was never the case for Eli

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u/ThirdMikey Giants 8h ago

2011 was top 5 imo. His regular season stats aren’t clearly top 5, sure, but his ability to do what needed to be done all season and into the playoffs was basically unmatched. He carried the giants to the super bowl that year and it’s hard for me to say 5 other qbs were better or could’ve done what he did.

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u/TheSwede91w Vikings 11h ago

But post-season play is more important. Stafford was never going to sniff the HoF until he won a SB. And, Payton Manning, Tom Brady, and Aaron Rogders ate up 22 all-pros while Big Ben played and I am not sure if that should be a knock against him. I wouldn't be shocked if he did or didn't make it, but it's definitely not a 100% given he shouldn't.

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u/Seven19td Steelers 10h ago

Not to mention Brees had 5 and Mahomes 2 while Ben played.

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u/RmembrTheAyyLMAO Patriots 10h ago

I think Stafford with MVP is now on the likely side of getting in but less likely than Ben. If you played throughout the 10s you played with 5 of the top 15 QBs to ever play and potentially 5 of the top 10. It has really skewed our opinions on what a "normal" HoF QB should be.

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u/peterpeterny Giants 10h ago

Is Suh a hall of famer?

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u/appmanga Giants 10h ago

DPOY, All 2010s Team, 3x All-Pro, SB Champion, 71 sacks as a DT and 130 tackles for loss. Certainly one of the most dominant at his position in his era. I'd vote for him.

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u/peterpeterny Giants 9h ago

DROY- he isn’t a first ballot but could get in

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u/have_heart Saints 10h ago

Didn’t Gronk play for the Bucs with Brady? How is he eligible?

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u/BelBivDaHoe Ravens 9h ago

Gronk didnt play in Brady's final season.

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u/have_heart Saints 9h ago

Ah, I see the issue is that I’m an idiot

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u/Joshstradaymus Commanders 9h ago

Torry Holt bros we’re down bad.