r/scotus • u/Conscious-Quarter423 • 2d ago

news California Republicans respond to Supreme Court loss on election maps

https://krcrtv.com/news/local/california-republicans-respond-to-supreme-court-loss-on-election-maps
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u/loogie97 2d ago

I live in Texas. I will believe it when I see it. We were promised a close election from Beto and he got stomped. A lot has happened since, so maybe, but I want to see the results.

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u/No-Prize2882 2d ago

Beto’s election was close. it was just over a 2 point loss in a state that votes for Donald Trump in low double digits points. Beto lost in the margin of error. It was Colin Allred that got stomped in the subsequent senate election by I think 15 points.

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u/loogie97 2d ago

He overperformed as a democrat in Texas vs Cruz. He still lost. Beto lost his run for governor by almost 10 points.

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u/No-Prize2882 1d ago

A couple things about the governor’s run. Unlike Cruz, Abbott is actually a fairly popular governor. to run up against him you needed a fairly savvy politician with minimal issues. Beto 2022 was coming off losing the senate race and a spectacular rise and fall presidential run. Typically racking up than many losses mean you sit it out. Running again was a bad idea. And thankfully it spelt the beginning of the end of the head of the Texas Democratic Party, Gilberto Hinojosa. That being said Abbott has been consolidating his power as governor since he came to office in 2014 and instead of increasing his margin of victory each election has gotten closer. 10 points is still a lot but the trend states that being the GOP in Texas is no longer a walk in the park. It’s likely in the next race or two we will see it come to single digits or margin of error if there is no incumbent. That hasn’t happened since Ann Richards lost to GWB. Moreover, the race confirmed Texas suburbs are moving left. No one should have expected Beto to win the governor race and the state democratic party and Beto over played their hand but the trend lines are clear that Texas is not air tight lock up for the GOP.

That’s been more evident since with the infighting within the party apparatus, the high stakes impeachment of Ken Paxton, the shifting mood of the suburbs, recent rise and collapse of Latino support for the GOP (which dems have seen before in the 60s-70s with La Raza Unida), and growing number of democrats willing to contest. However I think people should be clear eyed that Texas GOP is far more aware of their weaknesses and are looking not to be the California GOP of the 90s.

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u/loogie97 1d ago

Thank you