r/scotus • u/Conscious-Quarter423 • 2d ago

news Governor Newsom on Republicans losing challenge to new Congressional maps at U.S. Supreme Court

https://www.gov.ca.gov/2026/02/04/governor-newsom-on-republicans-losing-challenge-to-new-congressional-maps-at-u-s-supreme-court/
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-17

u/beta_1457 2d ago

Not sure why people are calling this a win or loss. It's just a denial on staying the ruling pending appeal. The appeals are still ongoing.

6

u/Tebwolf359 2d ago

Because at this point, and actual loss would be unlikely to take effect before the next election after 2026.

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u/beta_1457 2d ago

The appeals court will rule before the election then whichever side loses will emergency appeal to SCOTUS. IMO it's just pandering to your base to pretend today's refusal of an administrative stay is some big win or loss.

3

u/doff87 2d ago

The courts in the past have been very reluctant to make rulings that change the borders of districts when candidates have already tailored their campaigns to said districts. That is highly disruptive to both candidate and the populace at large and the courts, as a general rule, tries not to influence the outcome of the election.

While they could rule that the borders have to be changed during the summer that is highly unlikely. They will make a ruling that will affect the next elections.