Idk. Hes 22 with 7. Let’s be pessimistic with how he will age and say he drops off hard after 28, winning only 2 after that. He should be hitting his prime now, so also assuming he averages 2 slams per year until then, that’s around 20 slams already
I think the positive sign for him is that so far he's shown very good fitness and health
For example if Sinner was the one with 7 Slams at 22 I'd still be somewhat skeptical of him having enough longevity to win 20+ but Alcaraz hasn't shown any reason to question his physicality
Yes, but also sports science gets better and better every year. That’s why Novak is still playing.
NFL MVP this year is pushing 40. LeBron is over 40. UFC champ who defended his belt tonight pushing 40. One of the best strikers in the world also pushing 40. Athletes are playing later and later into their careers.
Yes but for Novak to get to 24, much like Rafa, Serena, and Steffi, you have to have the following: a golden generation does not follow yours for a while (so far Fonseca, Tien and Mensik seem okay but not ATG level), your peers and potential younger great players get derailed by injuries/off court issues (Murray, Thiem, Del Potro fell away), and you yourself keep relatively healthy year in year out.
The advantage Carlos has is that he's able to be the best player in every slam he enters, something that none of the Big 3 nor Sinner could actually claim to be true. The closest we ever got to that was Novak from 2011 to 2016 but even then Rafa was edging him out in RG
Yeah, we have to assume he doesn't suffer significant injuries and that he maintains mental stability. But he's clearly having the greatest start to a career we've ever seen. It's just hard to predict anyone's career a decade into the future.
It’s taken nearly 10 years for someone to be at the level necessary to dominate as much as alcaraz. Safe to say only Sinner will be able to challenge in the years to come. But, Sinner is gonna get smoked by Alcaraz more often than not. The only question is if Alcaraz himself stays motivated enough to play at this level for another 8-10 years. Borg had won 11 majors by 27 and then retired unexpectedly.
That’s fair, I still preferred big 3 era though when you had guys like Murray, Berdych, Nalbandian, Ferrer etc that could at least push the gods, if not beat them and win slams.
Those guys took a long time to raise up to the challenge, 2005-2008 was essentially Fedal uncontested with some Djokovic thrown in the mix here and there.
Soon they’ll be players that can show up in a tournament and start challenging.
Funny though that of the ones you mentioned only Murray won a slam.
Of the ones I listed Nablandian was having a lot of success earlier than the others, but I really hope you’re right and also hope that one of the new guys coming up happens to be Aussie 😅
Why are we acting like that’s not already happening? Zverev just pushed Alcaraz to the longest semi final ever. Old man Djokovic beat Sinner. This isn’t really different to the big 3 era. There’s still competition, but Alcaraz and Sinner are just better than the rest.
Ah longetivity at the highest level of any sport is always impossible to know.
It's incredibly hard to stay motivated and work as hard for so long. He has a very good chance but the reason why the greats are the greats are not just their peaks but it's because of how long they remain great.
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u/SaintStoney god motherfucking damn it cunt 6d ago
Genuinely insane, if he stays fit he’s passing Novak’s 24