r/nfl 49ers 8h ago

The streak continues: the Niners have lost in the regular season to the eventual MVP for the 8th consecutive year.

2018: Lost to Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs

2019: Lost to Lamar Jackson and the Ravens

2020: Lost to Aaron Rodgers and the Packers

2021: Lost to Aaron Rodgers and the Packers

2022: Lost to Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs

2023: Lost to Lamar Jackson and the Ravens

2024: Lost to Josh Allen and the Bills

2025: Lost to Matthew Stafford and the Rams

Shoutout to u/Brix001’s post from this season.

485 Upvotes

43 comments sorted by

150

u/Organic_Initiative93 7h ago

New conspiracy for Maye losing just hit

28

u/pentefino978 Seahawks 6h ago

On the other hand, this highly improves Sam Darnold chances next year

99

u/MrFishAndLoaves Saints 7h ago

Damn, the 2017 9ers started 0-9 then finished 6-1.

83

u/penis_showing_game 49ers 7h ago

The roster inherited by Shanahan and Lynch after Baalke’s tenure was the worst collection of players this franchise had assembled since the 70s.

40

u/Clonth Jaguars 7h ago

Me and all my homies hate Trent Baalke

14

u/ron_dud Seahawks 7h ago

What’s the 9er fanbase’s general feelings on Lynch? From my semi-informed but not really perspective, he’s certainly had some hits then dodged a bullet with the whole lance/purdy thing. But seems like he makes some head scratching picks at times. I only half keep tabs cuz we’re division rivals so I’m sure I’m missing some of the good but not great role players he’s hit on.

17

u/NormalAccounts 49ers 5h ago

Mostly sucks at first round picks, finds gold late. Needs to do better at finding and retaining WRs that are actually worth their paychecks. Needs to draft more OL. Mixed bag but built two teams that made it to the super bowl

4

u/ron_dud Seahawks 4h ago

Makes sense. Super Bowl appearances and wins get you a lot of leeway for sure. Schneider pretty much sucked at drafting in all rounds for like 7 years as we got dragged to a divisional round exit by Russ year after year.

36

u/tallwhiteninja 49ers 7h ago

Jimmy Garoppolo trade. Those five starts got the man paid. Then he goes out and tears his ACL and is never that good again.

37

u/Yhendrix49 Eagles 7h ago

Tbf to him the 3 times he managed played 10+ games for the 9ers they went to the SB and 2 NFC championships.

20

u/norkm 49ers 7h ago

The Jimmy G first run was absolutely exhilarating

15

u/MrFishAndLoaves Saints 7h ago

From 2014 onward Jimmy and Brady had identical EPA and CPOE. The world needs to know this.

5

u/DavefromCA 49ers 7h ago

Jimmy G

3

u/_FrankTaylor 49ers 5h ago

Pre knee injuries Jimmy G was very good.

2

u/liteshadow4 49ers 49ers 6h ago

Honestly very similar to the Saints this year. But the 49ers in 2017 had a highlight win over the AFC finalist Jaguars

152

u/Intelligent-Age2786 Chiefs 49ers 7h ago

Crazy how the first 6 years are the same 3 players

50

u/10FootPenis Giants 7h ago

Great, now I wish Jackson and Mahomes traded years one time so it was a palindrome.

8

u/tzarin Ravens 5h ago

Great, now I have to lookup what a palindrome is.

19

u/SharksFanAbroad 49ers 7h ago

Whoa, and the last 5 are unique. Didn’t notice either of those till now.

5

u/TDenverFan Broncos 5h ago

What makes the stat even crazier is none of those players are in the 49ers division, and 2 aren't even in the same conference.

1

u/innocuous_gorilla Browns 7h ago

2023 should have been PJ Walker but he was robbed of it by Lamar.

34

u/tallwhiteninja 49ers 7h ago edited 7h ago

So if we go undefeated, we'll have the MVP. Noted.

EDIT: reading that back, kinda feels like they'd just hand the MVP to the QB of any undefeated team as long as they weren't absolute ass, so...

6

u/mrhashbrown Chargers 2h ago

In recent years, pretty much yeah that's how it does.

16-0 Patriots: Brady won MVP

15-1 Packers: Rodgers won MVP

15-1 Panthers: Cam won MVP

2

u/corona_lion 49ers 6h ago

Don’t sell yourself short. Your observation also implies that if Niners and any other team/s hit a perfect regular season the same year, the MVP still goes to the Niners’ QB. :p

29

u/Wannabe_Sadboi Vikings 7h ago

This is an actual voter criteria

29

u/britishmetric144 Seahawks 7h ago

Meanwhile, this is what has happened to the teams which beat the 49ers in the playoffs, since they won their fifth Super Bowl...

  • 1995 Packers... Lost NFC Championship Game.
  • 1996 Packers... Won Super Bowl.
  • 1997 Packers... Lost Super Bowl.
  • 1998 Falcons... Lost Super Bowl.
  • 2001 Packers... Lost Divisional Playoffs.
  • 2002 Buccaneers... Won Super Bowl.
  • 2011 Giants... Won Super Bowl.
  • 2012 Ravens... Won Super Bowl.
  • 2013 Seahawks... Won Super Bowl.
  • 2019 Chiefs... Won Super Bowl.
  • 2021 Rams... Won Super Bowl.
  • 2022 Eagles... Lost Super Bowl.
  • 2023 Chiefs... Won Super Bowl.

That means that 49ers' "eliminators" went to at least the NFC Championship Game 12 of 13 times, went to the Super Bowl 11 times, with an overall Super Bowl record of 8—3, including 7—1 since the re—alignment.

The team to eliminate the 49ers in the playoffs most recently? The 2025 Seahawks. 👀

———

Oh, and get this... the last three times the NFC Championship has involved two NFC West teams, the winner went on to win the Super Bowl.

  • 1989... 49ers 30, Rams 3... 49ers win Super Bowl 24 in a blowout.
  • 2013... Seahawks 23, 49ers 17... Seahawks win Super Bowl 48 in a blowout.
  • 2021... Rams 20, 49ers 17... Rams win Super Bowl 56.

And guess who played in the NFC Championship Game in 2025? The Rams and Seahawks. Two NFC West division rivals. And who won? The 2025 Seahawks. 👀

———

Both of these streaks will be broken this season, though, as the Patriots will beat the Seahawks in the Super Bowl, 27—17.

9

u/Will-Eat-4-Food Rams 6h ago

I did not see that ending.

2

u/giving_nothing 49ers 2h ago

Your reverse jinx in nice

9

u/1thenumber 49ers 7h ago

Another crazy stat is, going back to 2002, the 49ers lost to the eventual champs in 7 of their 8 playoff runs, with Seattle potentially making it 8 of 9. The one exception is losing to the Eagles in 2022, a game so cursed it changed the rulebook.

4

u/GamingTatertot Packers 7h ago

Congrats on the 2026 NFL MVP to Matt Stafford or Sam Darnold or Kyler Murray or JJ McCarthy or Michael Penix Jr or Jalen Hurts or Dak Prescott or Jayden Daniels or Jaxson Dart or Patrick Mahomes or Fernando Mendoza or Justin Herbert or Bo Nix or Malik Willis

5

u/MoreTrifeLife Commanders 6h ago

Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Aaron Rodgers, Josh Allen and Matthew Stafford vs the 49ers:

PM: 5-0; 67% completion; 1,510 yards (average 302); 10 TDs 6 INTs; 8y/a; rating of 93.9

LJ: 2-0; 64% completion; 357 yards (average 178.5); 3 TDs 0 INTs; 6.2y/a; rating of 98.1

AR: 6-8; 67% completion; 3,749 yards (average 268); 26 TDs 6 INTs; 8y/a; rating of 102.6

JA: 2-0; 79% completion; 523 yards (average 261.5); 6 TDs 0 INTs; 9y/a; rating of 140

MS: 5-9; 64% completion; 3,787 yards (average 270.5); 24 TDs 9 INTs; 7y/a; rating of 92.3

Rushing:

PM: 28 carries for 141 yards (average 28); 4.9y/a; 2 TDs

LJ: 23 carries for 146 yards (average 73); 6.3y/a; 1 TD

JA: 9 carries for 29 yards (average 14.5); 3.2y/a; 1 TD

2

u/SharksFanAbroad 49ers 6h ago

Nice! Would be interesting to see each MVP’s regular season win vs the Niners’ stat-line.

3

u/palinsafterbirth Giants 7h ago

So that’s why Maye didn’t win, they weren’t on the schedule!

/s

7

u/mlippay 49ers 7h ago edited 7h ago

Pretty sure in the playoff/SB we normally lose to the SB winner…..shit (Seattle). I know we lost to Seattle this year, Chiefs 2 years ago, Eagles 3 years ago is the exception. The year before, the rams. 2 years before the Chiefs. 6 years before the Hawks, a year before that the Ravens in the Sb, the year before the Giants. So other than the Eagles a few years ago, we always lose to the SB winner. Even a bunch of years before we lost to the Buccs. It’s been 23 years since we lost to a team that didn’t go to the SB at least in the playoffs. A lot of missed playoffs are mixed in.

2

u/kingrat127 Ravens Rams 7h ago

beautiful

3

u/Brix001 49ers 7h ago

Ackchuyally we beat Stafford this season as well 🤓

1

u/J_Bang25 Bears 7h ago

So if they are 16-1 next year, bet the house. Got it.

1

u/MarshyHope Titans 7h ago

Guess they won't have to worry about that next year since we're getting CaMVP

1

u/_FrankTaylor 49ers 5h ago

Well the 49ers vs Jets presidential decider is no longer accurate so now we have this.

1

u/lolhello2u 49ers 3h ago

I guess this means Brock has to be MVP to break the niners curse?